A recent poll indicates that Poland’s Civic Coalition (KO), despite being the largest political faction, may face challenges in securing a majority if elections were to occur now. The survey places KO at 27.3% support, a slight decrease from 28.7% in the previous poll. Meanwhile, the Law and Justice party (PiS) has seen a rise, gaining 2.8 percentage points to reach 20.6%. The Confederation party also experienced an increase, climbing to 14.1% support.
The poll further reveals standings for other parties: the Confederation of the Polish Crown is at 8.4%, the Left garners 7.1%, and Development Plus attracts 6.5%. However, Poland 2050 and the Polish People’s Party (PSL), which are part of the current governing coalition, fell below the electoral threshold necessary for representation.
Based on these figures, a coalition between KO and the Left would potentially secure around 198 seats, which is 33 seats shy of the 231 needed to form a majority. On the other hand, a possible alliance among PiS, the Confederation, and Development Plus would also fall short, gathering approximately 224 seats. However, including the Confederation of the Polish Crown in this right-wing bloc could boost their total to an estimated 262 seats, surpassing the majority threshold.
It’s important to note that this survey was conducted prior to recent developments involving Radosław Piesiewicz, the Polish Olympic Committee president, and a controversy surrounding a costly Patek Philippe watch. Thus, any political repercussions from this incident are not reflected in the survey results.